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Sovereign rating

C: a critical rating, default judged likely

Ethiopia is no. 34 of the 34 African countries rated, among the lowest rated in Africa. A default is under way or judged very likely: a debt restructuring with losses for creditors is expected.

Critical rating C
Category
Default or near default
In Africa
no. 34 of 34
Trend
Stable

11 notches below investment grade

S&P

SD

no outlook · default 15 Dec 2023

Source ↗

Moody's

Caa3

stable outlook · affirmed Feb 2026

Source ↗

Fitch

RD

no outlook · affirmed Oct 2026

Source ↗

AfCRA

—

The African agency, launched on 7 October 2026, has not published a rating yet.

Long-term foreign-currency ratings, from the agencies' releases · verdict and common scale: Syli Atlas's reading of the agencies' categories · a rating is an opinion on credit risk, not investment advice

Business climate

Ethiopia: a business climate close to the African median

Above the African median on 2 indicators out of 4. Syli Atlas gives no « business friendly » verdict of its own: each score comes from the World Bank, compared with the other African countries.

Governance

Worldwide Governance Indicators 2025, score from 0 to 100

Regulatory quality 42.9 no. 28 of 54

Can the state make and apply rules that let private business grow?

Rule of law 43.2 no. 30 of 54

Are contracts, property rights, the police and the courts reliable?

Government effectiveness 39.7 no. 24 of 54

Quality of public services and of the administration.

Control of corruption 40.5 no. 17 of 54

How far public power is used for private gain.

Business regulations and services

World Bank Business Ready (B-READY) 2025, score from 0 to 100

Ethiopia is not covered yet: B-READY adds countries edition after edition (29 African economies in the latest one).

Sources: World Bank, Worldwide Governance Indicators (CC BY 4.0) and Business Ready (CC BY 3.0 IGO) · the line marks the African median · ranks among the African countries covered