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Sovereign rating

Ethiopia: C: a critical rating, default judged likely

Ethiopia is no. 34 of the 34 African countries rated, among the lowest rated in Africa. A default is under way or judged very likely: a debt restructuring with losses for creditors is expected.

Critical rating C
Category
Default or near default
In Africa
no. 34 of 34
Trend
Stable

11 notches below investment grade

S&P

SD

no outlook · default 15 Dec 2023

Source ↗

Moody's

Caa3

stable outlook · affirmed Feb 2026

Source ↗

Fitch

RD

no outlook · affirmed Oct 2026

Source ↗

AfCRA

—

The African agency, launched on 7 October 2026, has not published a rating yet.

Long-term foreign-currency ratings, from the agencies' releases · verdict and common scale: Syli Atlas's reading of the agencies' categories · a rating is an opinion on credit risk, not investment advice

History

Decisions of the agencies for Ethiopia

Decisions of the agencies for Ethiopia
Date Agency Decision Rating Outlook Source
Oct 2026 Fitch affirmed RD no outlook capitalethiopia.com ↗
Feb 2026 Moody's affirmed Caa3 stable outlook shega.co ↗
15 Dec 2023 S&P default SD no outlook news.frontierafricareports.com ↗

Questions

What is the credit rating of Ethiopia?

S&P SD · Moody's Caa3 · Fitch RD: critical rating, default or near default, 11 notches below investment grade, no. 34 of 34 in Africa.